Bankroll Growth Simulator
Monte Carlo projection of bankroll growth over N bets given your edge and staking strategy.
Parameters
Starting Bankroll ($)
Avg Decimal Odds
True Win Probability
Kelly Fraction
¼ Kelly (recommended)
½ Kelly
Full Kelly
Flat 2% of bankroll
Flat 5% of bankroll
Number of Bets
Simulations
200 (fast)
1,000 (standard)
5,000 (slow)
▶ Run Simulation
Bankroll Projection (Percentile Bands)
90th percentile (best)
Median (50th)
25th percentile
10th percentile (worst)
Risk of Ruin
Ruin = bankroll drops below 10% of start
Max Drawdown (Median)
Final Bankroll Percentiles
Percentile
Final Bankroll
Return
Interpretation